The Spectator Australia has backed Rudd’s national broadband network. The logic underpinning their argument is flawed and it is disappointing that the editors at the magazine can’t look past Rudd’s spin too see the many serious problems with his plan. Their basic premise is as so:
Government’s raison d’être is to provide services to citizens that could not be provided economically by anyone else, or if they were, would be priced to the point of abuse. This is a classic economic principle…
It is? Says who? Not Adam Smith, John Stuart Mill, Friedrich Hayek or Milton Friedman, etc… Maybe classical liberalism according to Kevin Rudd, but not according to the great classical liberal thinkers. If a service can’t be provided economically by the private sector, what makes Spectator think it can be provided by the government economically without the impost of excessive levels of debt and taxation on individuals and families? Besides, it has never been proven that Rudd can provide 100 megabit download speeds more economically than the private sector – such as Telstra’s existing fibre-optic network and associated retail on-sellers. Certainly, AAPT has already publicly declared that Rudd’s network will be financially un-viable and too expensive for consumers. And then there is the question if consumers want this service? I mention this in relation to the move to WiFi over fixed cable – hence the demise of fixed telephony.
…Telstra can exercise monopoly power over its obsolete copper wire system…
Good luck to them, because people are moving away from the “wire system” to embrace WiFi, mobile telephony and cable services that are provided by other companies. ADSL 2 runs through the “wire system”, but there are a host of IPs that can sell household 25 megabit connections at $50 a month, while government agencies and large businesses already have access to Telstra’s existing fibre-optic network.
…Australians can access the whole gamut of internet-intensive products and services that are yet to emerge…
Like what? Not mentioned in the article. Certainly nothing to justify $43 billion in new public debt.
Remote medical diagnosis, for instance, was not practicable until cable internet spread. Why should this process stop at 25 Mbps?
Who is saying it should stop? The argument here is about the business strategy to get to a higher download speed and it appears that there are cheaper less risky options available through future WiFi networks and Telstra’s existing cable and fibre network. Rudd’s plan is the most expensive and risky strategy.
…pundits miss the point of public works when they demand cost-benefit projections, and posit prices that ultimately ensure the broadband network makes ‘a commercially viable return’. Indeed, it is the very lack of a commercially viable return — at least in the medium term — that makes such projects suitable only for public provision.
The current ISP’s don’t seem to have any trouble making money at the moment and there is no reason to suggest that they won’t have any trouble in the future in utilising new technology to offer faster internet services as the demand arises. And what constitutes the medium term? Japan is the only developed country of note with a national fibre-optic network, and after nearly 15 years the network is still receiving heavy government subsidisation (loans to private companies) with only 31 per cent of households having taken up the service. In 2007 it was reported that NTT in Japan had to slash its subscription targets by 10 million because of the lack of uptake.
…costs and benefits from a project with such long gestation cannot be gainfully forecast; intervening inflation, changes in preferences and technological breakthroughs overseas make perspicacity impossible.
Yeah exactly. So let the market sort out the appropriate technological response when the demand arises, instead of government trying to pick market winners.
The government would be foolish to price the finished broadband network to recoup its costs, even if it knew them….The bulk of the benefits from the National Broadband Network will not come from the fees charged for access, but from the as yet unknown products and services…
Ooookayyyy….So we are going to go into $43 billion in debt to provide “unknown products and services”. But the Spectator Australia is not proposing debt to fund the proposal, but a new tax:
…the Rudd government is borrowing so profligately elsewhere it would be better to pay for this project from a small specific tax. The government’s credit rating would then be secure, the public would more keenly monitor the network’s construction, and Australians would be reminded of the eternal link between public spending and public taxation…
Ignoring the “eternal link” reference, to put $43 billion into perspective, it is the equivalent of abolishing the GST for a whole year. It would not be a small tax. Furthermore, to fund long lead items and to commit to expenditure on a capital project, the government would need most of the money up front. This will exaggerate the impost of the tax on tax-payers, not too mention the higher cost they will have to pay to use Rudd’s internet network.