The Guardian have released this month’s ICM poll, the first telephone poll conducted since the local elections. Topline voting intention figures with changes from a month ago are CON 28%(-4), LAB 34%(-4), LDEM 11%(-4), UKIP 18%(+9!).
The 18% for UKIP is the highest that ICM have shown and, more strikingly, the highest any company have shown. I will advise my usual caution about polls showing extremes and records, more often than not they tend to be outliers. ICM’s methodology tends to produce some of UKIP’s lower figures (ICM reallocate some don’t knows to the party they voted for last time, weight down people who didn’t vote last time and interview by phone… all things that tend to produce lower UKIP scores) so it is particularly surprising to see ICM with a record breaking UKIP score. While the scale of the UKIP increase may well be a bit of a blip though, the broader trend is the same as other companies – they are all showing a surge in support for UKIP.
Category: UK Politics
That’s what you get when you live behind an agricultural trade wall:
Catherine Brown, chief executive of the Food Standards Agency, told MPs that the Polish supplier at the heart of the scandal has been selling beef “filler” to an Irish meat processor for over a year.
Anne McIntosh, the chairman of the committee, said: “How do we know that this horse meat has not been in beef burgers for months if not years?”
The economic ‘powerhouse’ of the EU is in trouble:
The German economy contracted by a larger-than-expected 0.5 percent in the final quarter of 2012, a preliminary estimate from the Federal Statistics office showed on Tuesday, as the euro zone crisis weighed on exports and corporate investment.
Imagine if an Australian politician told the UK to get out of the EU so we could negotiate a FTA and NZ-like CER movement of people arrangement.
After observing the rise in popularity of Ukip and the rise of anti-European sentiment generally, the issue was raised by President Barack Obama in a video-conference call with the Prime Minister on Tuesday. It was also high on the agenda of a visit by a US national security council official to Downing Street and the Foreign Office earlier this week.
Romney states the bleeding obvious that the London Olympics have been a bit of a mess and clowns like Cameron and Boris Johnson mock him for it to cover up for their own failings on security, crowd attendance and enthusiasm.
Then there was the absurd opening ceremony – arn’t they always – where one of the worst health care systems in the developed world, the NHS was celebrated. It would be like celebrating Medicare at the Sydney Olympics opening ceremony.
Cat Files is typically down on the Olympics. I’m reasonably comfortable with some tax-payer funding for Olympic sport, because it is one of the few things government funds that has clear outcomes: either you win or lose. I’m not comfortable with blowing millions on commercial sports.
The mess continues:
the distribution of the tickets has, in the words of one team chef de mission become ” a complete nightmare”.
No it is not a sermon, but the latest instalment of James Delingpole’s radio programme.
Want a taste of what it would be like with Turnbull as PM? Look at David Cameron in the UK.