Category: International Affairs

An Australian take on David Cameron and the EU

Posted by – 13 December, 2011

Peter Reith has some telling thoughts on David Cameron, the EU and the spread of European style anti-democratic bureaucracy. Highlights:

I never had much time for David Cameron. When he first became opposition leader in the UK, he was soon pandering to the greens and he tried to undercut a Tory tax policy group of which I was a member.

I was also unimpressed when one of his closest colleagues told me how Cameron would not sit next to Margaret Thatcher at a Tory function because he did not want to be seen to be associated with Thatcherism.

Reith goes on to congratulate Cameron for his veto stance on EU Fiscal Union.

By rejecting the latest European rescue plan it seems that Cameron has finally had to accept the Thatcher view about Europe.

Taxation without representation is anathema to democrats and transaction taxes are not the answer to Europe’s problems. Cameron was right to say no.

So true. Pity Wayne Swan can’t speak to Australians like adults. Reith goes on to detail his experience as Australia’s representative at the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development. A strange institution set-up to rebuild Europe’s financial system after the fall of the Berlin Wall, but still in existence today.

The best thing I did whilst I was at the bank was to persuade Wayne Swan that Australia should sell its shares and leave the bank. Sadly, although the decision was publicly announced, Swan later changed his mind and Australia remains a member of the EBRD.

Presumably Swan was rolled by Treasury public servants.

The directors of the EBRD were nearly all public servants from treasury departments. Most knew little about banking. They were experts at self preservation. Most had sauntered from one international bank to another…..So the bureaucrats are largely running the policy and none of them are too interested in free enterprise. Europe is weighed down with deficits. And no-one has been prepared to fight for the policies that might lift productivity and provide the revenue to pay the interest on their debts.

Europe has failed to face the reality of its economic situation for decades, so it is not obvious that they will do so anytime soon.

I think it fair to say that Gillard and Co. look to the EU as an example of governance. Consider the news taxes and regulations that have been introduced without any democratic mandate. Without a change in government Australia is probably only two elections away from the same EU fate .

That took a bit of courage

Posted by – 10 December, 2011

I’m not a David Cameron fan, but to stand against every EU leader and the BBC et al by vetoing a new EU treaty that would have undermined the City of London’s wealth took some guts:

Mr Cameron provoked widespread anger among European leaders by refusing to back a deal to rescue the eurozone, delighting Tories and raising questions about Britain’s future in the EU.

After Nicolas Sarkozy, the French president, led objections to his “unacceptable” demands for legal protections for the City of London, the Prime Minister refused to give Britain’s backing for a new treaty to create a “fiscal union” among eurozone members.

At the end of an acrimonious summit in Brussels, all 26 other EU members signalled they could now support the new treaty, leaving Britain in a minority of one.

Conservative MPs welcomed Britain’s move back towards the traditional Tory stance of “splendid isolation” in Europe — a term for the foreign policy of the late 19th century.

Given Cameron’s compromise was rejected out of hand by the EU, it shows that the UK has virtually no influence while France and Germany are running the show. Isolating your country from the failure of the Eurozone isn’t such a bad thing.

If the momentum in the UK develops to leave the EU, it may present Australia with an opporunity to seal a deal with the UK on trade, investment and immigration. Any such deal would be very popular in both countries.

A new foreign policy agenda – way out idea #571

Posted by – 21 November, 2011

How about the Coalition committing to lobby the UK for a free trade deal, including the removal of some immigration restrictions? Obviously that cannot be implemented right now because the UK is bound up by the EU. However, it would certainly put David Cameron in a bind at home and could provide further sections of the UK the excuse they may be looking for to get out of the EU. Furthermore, Australia remains the UK’s number destination for working overseas, combined with New Zealand and Canada, that is where the vast bulk of the UK’s overseas workforce is at any one point in time. I’d imagine large numbers of Australians would welcome any such deal for travel and work as well.

The EU is not as an attractive work destination because of four main reasons:

  1. Notwithstanding the common EU labour market, the barriers to entry into the EU for UK workers are too high due to high unemployment, language and cultural problems and restrictive work practices;
  2. EU pay is for the most part not competitive against Australian wages;
  3. Australia’s relative proximity to booming Asia against a declining EU; and
  4. Australia offers UK workers a lifestyle change they are unlikely to find in the EU.

Traditional problems like distance are really a thing of the past with modern telecommunications, media and transportation. Certainly the UK has all the incentive they need to leave the EU and look for something better.

I would not be holding Germany up as some type of fiscal stalwart – German Federal government debt levels as a % of GDP are just as bad as Spain’s while the German unemployment rate is much lower and GDP growth marginally higher. Imagine what German debt levels would be like if the German unemployment rate nudged higher.

UPDATE

I missed Abbott’s EU commentary:

Speaking at the conservative Policy Exchange think tank in London, Mr Abbott made it clear he thought the 17 euro nations should be looking to loosen the binds of the common currency rather than seeking a “closer union” with tighter policy co-ordination as advocated by German Chancellor Angela Merkel and British Prime Minister David Cameron.

“Australia has a part to play as a good international citizen but that shouldn’t mean rubber-stamping the plans of officials whose goal is to save the euro whatever the cost,” he said……

“As facilitator of the free movement of goods, people and ideas between disparate and formerly hostile countries, the European Union has been a source of lasting good,” he said.

“As the enforcer of common policies onto divergent countries, the EU could end up exacerbating the tensions it is supposed to reduce.”

It is our money the ALP want to give to their EU mates

Posted by – 6 November, 2011

So the euro zone would collapse if Australia refuses to provide money to the IMF. Work that out!

Finance Minister Penny Wong is standing firm behind the Federal Government’s pledge to give more money to the International Monetary Fund if global circumstances call for it.

Prime Minister Julia Gillard says the Group of Twenty nations is committed to ensuring the IMF is properly resourced amid the Greek debt crisis.

She says Australia would contribute more money to the fund if it is required, but the Coalition says the Government’s own debt levels should rule out sending more money overseas.

And if the Euro zone does collapse, so what? It will probably be beneficial to those countries that cannot compete with a higher currency and as an issue the Euro zone is only at the margins for the Australian economy. Propping up the Euro zone is not our problem. Furthermore, it is not as if Australia has the money – like we did during the Asian financial crisis – to help any other country or region. Those days of prudent fiscal management have gone under Gillard. There is nothing in the bank.

Good UKIP discussion below:

UK Treasury: “euro….is breaking up.” UPDATED

Posted by – 4 November, 2011

The Daily Mail reports:

……Treasury minister Mark Hoban during an emergency question on the Greek crisis in the chamber just now.

Coaxed into making the usual Tory statement about never joining the Euro, he gave an interesting insight into thinking in 11 Downing Street.

He said: ‘I don’t think there’s any intention for us to join the euro at a time when it is breaking up.’

This may sound like a statement of the obvious, but it is emphatically not the government’s position.

Mr Hoban also admitted that the Government is working on contingency plans for the total collapse of the single currency.

UPDATE

Seems the public know more what about what needs to happen to Greece than the politicans. See this video. 250 billion Euros have been transferred out of Greece on the expectation that Greece will have to leave the euro.

What a mess

Posted by – 2 November, 2011

The biggest immediate problem in the world right now is the impending debt implosion of the Euro bloc. The central focus is in Greece because it has demonstrated an inability and unwillingness to sort out its fiscal and economic problems. Portugal, Spain and even Italy are trying to sort their debt problems out through a bit of fiscal austerity. Greece however managed to get the Euro countries to reduce its debt liability by 50 per cent (that’s a default to you and me) even though those same countries were unwilling to entertain the prospect of Greece leaving the Euro because of fears it would devalue Greek debts. So in short Greece is trapped inside a currency bloc its economy is totally unsuited for while also defaulting on part of its public debts. Despite the bail-out deal agreed last week, the socialist running Greece have decided a nation-wide vote is in order. That is their prerogative, but it will only make matters worse. The Daily Mail under the heading, “Corrupt nation holding a gun to the EU’s head”:

Could the Greeks really contemplate voting against the bail-out package and bringing ruin down on their own country? Don’t rule it out. Greece has always had a siege mentality. It is very different from the rest of the EU. It was part of the Ottoman Empire for centuries before it became an independent country in the early 19th century, and psychologically is as much a part of Turkey and the Middle East as it is of Europe. It has few shared traditions with Western Europe.

Greeks have never minded defaulting on their debts. The country defaulted in 1826, 1843, 1860 and 1893. It has been in default for half of its existence. Only two countries in the world have a worse record – Honduras and Ecuador.

The great lie in all of this is that some how the Germans are a shining example of fiscal prudence who are having to bail out less responsible partners. It’s public debt levels as a percentage of GDP are worse than Spain’s.

UPDATE

Don’t the Greeks know who runs their country now?

Germany and France summoned Greece’s prime minister for emergency talks after his shock decision to call a referendum on a 130-billion euro bailout sparked panic on global markets.

UPDATE II

There will be no referendum after Germany and France heaved Greece into turning its back on democracy. Charming.

Apparently the Australian taxpayer will be going into even more debt to bail out the Euro currency zone via the IMF. What any of it has to do with us is not clear. Gillard claims it won’t hurt the bottom line. Unlikely. We borrow at well over 5 per cent on our bonds. That’s what Italy borrows at, and Italy is considered a sovereign risk. It was reported of Italian bonds today by CNN

Whether at 5.5% or 6.5%, these are scary looking yields,” said Andrew Milligan, head of global strategy at Standard Life Investments in Edinburgh, Scotland.

Not for Gillard though.

Australia votes against Palestinian membership of UNESCO

Posted by – 1 November, 2011

Only 14 nations voted against Palestine becoming a member of UNESCO today. I am proud to say that Australia was one of those nations. Predictably, the UK abstained from the vote (they really have become a ‘wet-behind-the-ears’ country). The United States and Israel have already decided to with hold funding from UNESCO, while Canada is reconsidering its entire role in UNESCO.

Meanwhile, on the same day:

With rockets falling on southern Israel, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on Monday issued a tough warning to Palestinian militants in the Gaza Strip, saying that those who attack his country are risking their lives.

I think the time has come for a stronger response to these UN shenanigans. I’m talking about withdrawing from all non-security aspects of the UN, and given that we can’t even get a seat on the security council, that would mean pretty much saying good bye to the UN altogether. Consider: Australia is one of the oldest continuous democracies in the world and one of only a hand full of countries to have successfully lead a UN security operation and we can’t even get a lousy non-veto seat on the UN security council. Australia has undeniably been an active force for good in the world over many years, and despite all of Rudd’s good time spending I seriously doubt we will ever get a seat. The fact that we isolated ourselves at the UNESCO vote probably is an indication that Rudd thinks we have no hope of being elected to the security council. What exactly then are we getting out of the UN?

I am hopeful that one of the Republican presidential candidates will pick up on John McCain’s 2008 election idea to leave the UN to its own devices and set up a new organisation where free thinking democracies need only apply (likely rule out most of the EU). If Rudd wants to go down in history as one of Australia’s most famous politicans, then leaving the UN would do that very nicely. I believe it would be a watershed moment. Other nations that have also been sidelined by the UN would eventually follow: Japan, India and Canada immediately come to mind. Although a Republican in the Whitehouse would help.

Over to you Red Rudd-leader.

Saadi Gaddafi smuggled out of Libya by ex-ANZACs

Posted by – 31 October, 2011

This seems to have fallen under the radar. From the UK Telegraph:

Gary Peters, who is Australian but lives in Ontario, Canada, said his team of New Zealand, Australian, Russian and Iraqi ex-special forces soldiers escorted Saadi to Niger after his flight from Tripoli as it fell to rebel forces in August.

He said he himself was injured as he tried to cross the border back to Libya, but was able to make it back to Canada even though he was bleeding.

Summary of the UK/EU Issue

Posted by – 26 October, 2011

You may be familiar with the recent backbencher revolt in the Commons, where around half of Conservative backbenchers voted for a referendum on the EU, much to the displeasure of  that Tony Blair lite PM David Cameron. This reminds me a little bit about the Coalition revolt against Rudd’s and Turnbull’s Emissions Trading Scheme. No three line whip in Australia.

I always find it strange that EU advocates think you have to be part of the EU to trade with the EU.

UPDATE

UK Conservatives under Cameron are starting to unravel:

In an exclusive interview with the Evening Standard, Nigel Farage said Conservative MPs, MEPs and peers had told him privately of their dissatisfaction with Mr Cameron’s stance.

“I’m not going to tell you they are on the verge of coming across,” he said. “All I can tell you is that it’s being discussed. I do know people in the Conservative Party – and I’ve spoken to some this morning – who are deeply depressed at the moment. Some of them have got to be asking themselves, ‘What if a whole group of us went to Ukip?’”

Ed Miliband urges Cameron to turn his back on Australia (CHOGM)

Posted by – 24 October, 2011

UK Labour leader Ed Miliband – the man that gives hope to imbeciles every where – is urging David Cameron to double down on failure and attend an EU debt-currency meeting in Brussels instead of attending the CHOGM meeting in Perth.

Newsflash: attending a meeting in Europe on Wednesday means you won’t make Perth on Thursday. More like Friday midday. Miliband is a good deal like Gillard: hopelessly out of his depth generally, out of touch with public opinion on the EU much like Gillard on the carbon tax, and with a strong desire to shut up anyone that expresses dissent against Labour Party dogma.

UPDATE

David ‘Tony Blair Lite’ Cameron decided to attend the ‘save the euro’ meeting instead of COHGM (at least for the time being). Outcome?

David Cameron seemed to find himself something of an unwelcome guest at the summit yesterday.

After a very public dressing down at the weekend, the Prime Minister looked as though he wanted to patch things up with his French counterpart.

But when he extended his hand in goodwill to Nicolas Sarkozy yesterday, the president could not even bring himself to make eye contact with him…..

Mr Cameron also found himself hovering uncertainly on the sidelines as German Chancellor Angela Merkel conversed with Polish prime minister Donald Tusk, apparently unaware of the PM standing behind them.

Last time I checked the UK was not in the Euro, so what exactly was D’TBL’C hoping to achieve?