Swings to Libs in both by elections
December 6th, 2009
Yes you heard it here first. Back in August I predicted that there would not be a swing away from the Libs on a 2pp basis, even with Turnbull as the leader. As the voting count currently stands this seems to be the case. In Bradfield in 2007 on a 2pp the Libs won 63.45 per cent, now in 2009 63.56 per cent. In Higgins in 2007 the Libs won 57.04 per cent and now in 2009 57.57 per cent. Now percentages could change slightly by the time the count ends, but there does not appear to be a hint of a swing against the Libs in both seats on a 2pp basis.
So Abbott 2, Rudd 0.
It goes to show just out of touch the main stream media and especially the ABC are. Just listen to the video posted to this ABC article before the vote count. Libs did not even need preferences to win as the ABC predicted they would need.
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See also:
- The first cracks appear (July 30th, 2010)
- Finally some industry support for the Coalition (July 30th, 2010)
- The fire is getting hotter (July 29th, 2010)
- Some vindication (July 29th, 2010)
- Wake up Australia! (July 27th, 2010)
December 7th, 2009 at 8:24 am
Labour had candidates in neither seat.
So there’s nothing to crow about.
December 7th, 2009 at 10:09 am
…but the mainstream media were saying that either the Greens would win in Higgins or the Liberals would need preferences to win both seats. so on both counts they got it wrong.